Large wildfires in wildland‐urban interfaces (WUI) are associated with severe negative consequences, including massive community evacuation, property losses, damage to infrastructure, injuries, and in some instances, fatalities. Very often, the wisdom derived from previous WUI disasters in other regions is the only source available to identify scenarios and plan the response of a given community. But there is no guarantee that these past experiences correlate with the next disaster to be faced.
In this context, a simulation toolkit that can test ahead of time, and with little cost, the hypothetical response of a community would be highly useful. The toolkit could predict how the evacuation develops based on different fires spreading at a range of speeds and directions and different evacuation decisions (e.g., staggered evacuation by neighborhoods, arrangement of traffic flow on highways, or the appearance of congestion).
Next week's FREE webinar, "Wildfire Urban Evacuation Modeling," will address a review of open‐source simulation tools and conceptualize a framework that can forecast the progress of a WUI incident and the effectiveness of pedestrian and traffic responses, according to the time and information available, incident scale, model capabilities and resources available. The Fire Protection Research Foundation is overseeing a project related to this issue.
"Wildfire Urban Evacuation Modeling" will be held on Wednesday, September 27, 12:30-2:00 pm ET. Featured presenters include:
- Steven Gwynne, National Research Council Canada
- Guillermo Rein, Imperial College London
- Enrico Ronchi, Lund University
Register for the webinar today!